Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.953493 4.227523 4.524423 4.872505 5.272727 5.722677 6.272943
2025-03-02 3.436883 3.777519 4.166499 4.650825 5.248680 5.978530 6.964581
2025-03-09 3.110298 3.494622 3.952793 4.553566 5.344635 6.390951 7.962124
2025-03-16 2.803586 3.200879 3.689876 4.357166 5.282929 6.594747 8.769275
2025-03-23 2.626639 3.048374 3.584956 4.349290 5.473864 7.204274 10.469864
2025-03-30 2.458930 2.891653 3.457362 4.292971 5.587981 7.741580 12.397875
2025-04-06 2.298668 2.731018 3.308421 4.186665 5.608370 8.141646 14.408459
2025-04-13 2.142015 2.563524 3.135142 4.023484 5.509727 8.307279 16.097193
2025-04-20 2.067744 2.502069 3.105011 4.074039 5.783976 9.319571 21.747009
2025-04-27 2.005477 2.452175 3.086350 4.139833 6.103339 10.609358 32.480471
2025-05-04 1.963388 2.427210 3.101605 4.263216 6.568495 12.600065 65.047266
2025-05-11 1.907402 2.378039 3.075203 4.311358 6.897009 14.534459 200.889853
2025-05-18 1.831391 2.300743 3.007871 4.295965 7.131006 16.664305 NaN
2025-05-25 1.740406 2.196268 2.889995 4.174401 7.092433 17.807928 NaN
2025-06-01 1.673741 2.124796 2.820504 4.137415 7.265420 20.410994 NaN
2025-06-08 1.595011 2.030944 2.707914 4.003987 7.155463 21.464562 NaN
2025-06-15 1.549882 1.986159 2.673618 4.022669 7.479726 26.517909 NaN
2025-06-22 1.500304 1.931788 2.619148 3.993579 7.664648 31.795575 NaN
2025-06-29 1.446705 1.868521 2.545266 3.915331 7.678900 36.030005 NaN
2025-07-06 1.388294 1.795230 2.449913 3.781779 7.481620 37.044783 NaN
2025-07-13 1.362873 1.772864 2.441626 3.835910 7.940446 55.029363 NaN
2025-07-20 1.340707 1.754452 2.438813 3.902137 8.488577 101.812007 NaN
2025-07-27 1.326466 1.747944 2.456639 4.018848 9.322428 682.754485 NaN